Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	Gimnástica de Torrelavega		Covadonga

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.75
	1.47	4	6.5	Watch
	1.46	3.65	5.2
	1.48	3.98	7.04
	1.47	4.05	6.59
	1.47	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)	3.9 ↑ (3.2)	6.21 ↑ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnástica de Torrelavega
62%

Draw
23.4%

Covadonga
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

28.2%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

27.2%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástica de Torrelavega has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gimnástica de Torrelavega's performance.

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica de Torrelavega than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gimnástica de Torrelavega that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Covadonga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Gimnástica de Torrelavega is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Covadonga is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Covadonga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gimnástica de Torrelavega is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gimnástica de Torrelavega won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástica de Torrelavega
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.02.24	Arandina - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:3 ✺
11.02.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Marino de Luanco	0:0 ✺
03.02.24	Rayo Cantabria - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:1 ✺
28.01.24	Gimnástica de Torrelavega - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	Real Oviedo B - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTLTW
- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.02.24	Covadonga - RC Villalbes	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Deportivo A Coruña B - Covadonga	4:1 ✺
04.02.24	Covadonga - Ourense CF	2:2 ✺
27.01.24	Compostela - Covadonga	2:0 ✺
21.01.24	Zamora - Covadonga	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.10.23	Covadonga - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:2

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