Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Covadonga		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	8	3.75	1.5	Watch
	7	4	1.51	Watch
	7	4	1.47	Watch
	7.31	3.82	1.49
	6	3.5	1.5	Watch
	7.7	4.05	1.46	Watch
	7	3.75	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.14 ↑ (3.2)	3.84 ↑ (3.2)	1.49 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covadonga
13.1%

Draw
24.3%

Deportivo A Coruña
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covadonga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Covadonga's form might have worsened.

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo A Coruña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Covadonga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo A Coruña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Covadonga - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Covadonga will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Deportivo will win (votes: 14 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Deportivo: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Carlos Aramburu 2. Berto Gonzalez 4. Carlos Figar 8. Pablo Tineo 3. Alvaro Garcia 10. Asier Gomes 19. Vicente Alvarez 18. Adrian Trabanco 21. Pelayo Avanzini 9. Ariel Herrero 22. Ivan Fernandez	13. German Parreno 23. Navarro X. 15. Vazquez P. 3. Retu 5. Barcia D. 8. Villares D. (C) 26. Jairo Noriega 11. Davo 14. Cayarga B. 21. Valcarce P. 27. David Mella
Substitutes
7. Alvarez O. 1. Bussmann B. (G) 20. Dani Gonzalez . Elena Aitor 6. Emilio Morilla 12. Endika Jimenez 17. Jose Santullano 16. Nico Arce 11. Samu Perez 15. Turmo A.	22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 41. Alex Pereira 1. Mackay I. (G) 4. Martinez P. 29. Martin Ochoa 16. Munoz P. 40. Oscar Marotias 7. Perez L. 35. Ruben 24. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 6. Sevilla S.

Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Deportivo is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.10.23	Covadonga - Langreo	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Valladolid B - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
15.10.23	Covadonga - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:2 ✺
08.10.23	RC Villalbes - Covadonga	1:2 ✺
01.10.23	Covadonga - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLTWL
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Sabadell - Deportivo A Coruña	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Ponferradina - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Celta de Vigo B	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Fuenlabrada - Deportivo A Coruña	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWTLL

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