Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 6

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday


	Fuenlabrada		Deportivo A Coruña

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.4	1.6
	4.6	3.25	1.68
	5.5	3.4	1.66
	5.27	3.61	1.68
	5.3	3.54	1.64
	4.6	3.35	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.09 ↑ (3.03)	3.43 ↑ (3)	1.66 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fuenlabrada
18%

Draw
26.8%

Deportivo A Coruña
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

31%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

30.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuenlabrada's form might have worsened.

Deportivo A Coruña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo A Coruña's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo A Coruña than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo A Coruña, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fuenlabrada - Deportivo A Coruña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Belman (G) 4. Sotillos A. 16. Alba D. 5. Lama M. 14. Barbosa A. 10. Bravo A. 23. Galindo A. 17. Ruiz Fer 29. Benitez C. 11. Nieto D. 19. Hassaine I.	13. Parreno G. (G) 22. Adot Barandiaran P. A. 15. Vazquez P. 4. Martinez P. 18. Balenziaga M. 11. Davo 8. Villares D. 20. Jurado J. 17. Rama H. 7. Perez L. (C) 21. Valcarce P.
Substitutes
12. Buer S. 8. Cristobal 1. Diaz J. (G) 3. Duran J. 21. Fernandez M. 24. Giffard L. (G) 9. Gomez D. 27. Gonzalez M. 26. Jerome Hilt H. 30. Muriana J. 15. Sanchez A. 20. Sergio Benito	5. Barcia D. 14. Cayarga B. 1. Mackay I. (G) 27. Mella D. 16. Munoz P. 26. Noriega J. 29. Ochoa M. 3. Retu 19. Sanchez J. 24. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 6. Sevilla S.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Fuenlabrada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Deportivo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fuenlabrada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Deportivo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.09.23	Ponferradina - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
16.09.23	Barcelona B - Fuenlabrada	2:2 ✺
10.09.23	Fuenlabrada - Lugo	0:0 ✺
03.09.23	Cornellà - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Fuenlabrada - Leonesa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTTLL
- Deportivo A Coruña
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.09.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Cornellà	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Teruel	0:0 ✺
02.09.23	Lugo - Deportivo A Coruña	0:3 ✺
26.08.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Rayo Majadahonda	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.04.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Fuenlabrada	4:2
27.11.22	Fuenlabrada - Deportivo A Coruña	0:3
Spanish LaLiga2
07.08.20	Deportivo A Coruña - Fuenlabrada	2:1
02.11.19	Fuenlabrada - Deportivo A Coruña	1:1

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