Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Covadonga		Guijuelo

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.1	1.9	Watch
	4.05	3.13	1.98
	4.05	3.13	1.98
	4.05	3.08	1.89
	4.4	3.15	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↓ (4.6)	3.12 ↓ (3.2)	1.91 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covadonga
22.1%

Draw
29.6%

Guijuelo
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

28.4%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

27.7%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Covadonga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Guijuelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covadonga than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (+5%)

Covadonga - Guijuelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Covadonga is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Guijuelo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guijuelo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Covadonga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Covadonga won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Covadonga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.11.23	Cayón - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Covadonga - Deportivo A Coruña	1:3 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.10.23	Covadonga - Langreo	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Valladolid B - Covadonga	3:1 ✺
15.10.23	Covadonga - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLTLT
- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.11.23	Guijuelo - Arandina	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Guijuelo - Sporting de Gijón	0:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
29.10.23	Marino de Luanco - Guijuelo	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Guijuelo - Rayo Cantabria	2:1 ✺
15.10.23	Real Avilés - Guijuelo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
09.05.21	Guijuelo - Covadonga	3:1
11.04.21	Covadonga - Guijuelo	3:3

Covadonga - Guijuelo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide