The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cove Rangers 44.2%
Draw 27.6%
East Fife 28.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40%
27.7%
32.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
26.5%
33.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cove Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
East Fife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cove Rangers than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cove Rangers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that East Fife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Cove Rangers - East Fife Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mutch R. (G) 2. Bisland L. 6. Mercer J. 32. Parker L. 7. Harrington R. 14. Chalmers J. 10. Barry M. 15. Darge A. 77. Maguire C. 26. White J. (C) 9. Oladipo D.
1. Gaston D. (G) 22. McLeod E. 19. Munro A. 20. Bah M. 5. Easton B. 3. Newton L. 4. Millar K. 23. Ballantyne C. 17. Beattie C. 10. Ross C. 18. Dow C.
Substitutes
21. Demus B. (G) 8. Francis-Burrell A. 20. Fraser A. 12. Keir M. 18. Oppong E. 3. Ross D. 16. Teasdale J.
9. Austin N. 7. Gaffney M. 11. Healy J. 12. Joseph O. 15. Milne T. 6. Peggie R. 21. Rollo M. (G) 25. Seisay H. 14. Skeen Hamilton T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Gaston D. ↓, Rollo M. ↑,
25', Ballantyne C. 🟨,
37', McLeod E. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Oladipo D. ⚽, White J. (A),
43', Bisland L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Easton B. ↓, Seisay H. ↑,
64', Dow C. ↓, Gaffney M. ↑,
64', Ballantyne C. ↓, Healy J. ↑,
64', Bah M. ↓, Austin N. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Beattie C. ⚽,
73', Barry M. ↓, Teasdale J. ↑,
73', Bisland L. ↓, Oppong E. ↑,
76', Chalmers J. 🟨,
87', Healy J. 🟨,
88', White J. ↓, Keir M. ↑,
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 10th in the Relegation - League Two and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cove won 0.
In recent outings, Cove has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
East Fife has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Recently, East Fife has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Cove holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Cove has recorded 4 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:18 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Cove against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 12:6 goals (averaging 2.4:1.2 per game).