Match Info

League One - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday

Location: MGM Timber Bayview Stadium (Methil)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	East Fife TV, SPFL Player


	East Fife		East Kilbride

	1	X	2
	3.60	3.60	1.80
	3.50	3.50	1.82
	3.25	3.40	1.94
	3.61	3.61	1.98
	3.09	3.68	2.11	Watch
	3.55	3.55	1.89
	3.74	3.74	1.87	Watch
	3.55	3.55	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.64)	3.58 ↓ (3.73)	1.91 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

East Fife
26.3%

Draw
25.6%

East Kilbride
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

24.9%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

24.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

East Fife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

East Kilbride has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for East Fife than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for East Kilbride than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

East Fife - East Kilbride Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gaston D. (G) 22. McLeod E. 25. Seisay H. 19. Munro A. 5. Easton B. 6. Peggie R. 17. Beattie C. 20. Bah M. 4. Millar K. 9. Austin N. 10. Ross C.	1. Kelly S. (G) 5. Fagan S. 2. Steele A. 4. Hamilton J. 16. East E. 7. McGrattan L. 8. Balde J. 19. Calder O. 11. McGuffie C. 9. Elliott C. 36. Culbert S.
Substitutes
23. Ballantyne C. 18. Dow C. 7. Gaffney M. 11. Healy J. 12. Joseph O. 15. Milne T. 21. Rollo M. (G) 14. Skeen Hamilton T.	17. Dargie R. 6. Kennedy L. 15. Maguire L. 21. McKendrick L. 14. McKenzie C. 26. McLuskey D. 24. O'Connor D. 12. Ross E. 22. Smith A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Steele A. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Elliott C. ⚽, Calder O. (A),
42', Elliott C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', East E. ↓, O'Connor D. ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Elliott C. ⚽, Robertson M. (A),
57', Peggie R. ↓, Ballantyne C. ↑,
57', Beattie C. ↓, Milne T. ↑,
61', McGrattan L. ↓, Maguire L. ↑,
65', Seisay H. ↓, Dow C. ↑,
65', Austin N. ↓, Gaffney M. ↑,
66', McGuffie C. ↓, Dargie R. ↑,
69', Milne T. 🟨,
72', Bah M. 🟨,
73', 0 - 3, Elliott C. (Penalty Awarded),
75', Munro A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th and 4th in the Promotion - League One Promotion - Playoffs).

In recent outings, East Fife has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

East Kilbride shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

East Kilbride may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with East Kilbride holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of Scottish League One for now

East Kilbride: 3.13% East Fife: 0.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	East Kilbride	9	5	1	3	17:12	5	16
7	East Fife	9	1	5	3	7:10	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- East Fife
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	East Fife - Clydebank	0:2 ✺
Scottish League One
19.09.26	East Fife - Montrose	1:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
15.09.26	East Fife - Motherwell 2	4:1 ✺
Scottish League One
12.09.26	Queen of the South - East Fife	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	Clyde - East Fife	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWTW
- East Kilbride FC
Scottish Challenge Cup
26.09.26	Stranraer - East Kilbride	4:3 ✺
22.09.26	East Kilbride - Celtic B	3:3 ✺
Scottish League One
19.09.26	Alloa Athletic - East Kilbride	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	East Kilbride - Peterhead	3:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
08.09.26	East Kilbride - Bonnyrigg Rose	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTWWW

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