Match Info

PORTUGAL: Taça de Portugal - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio José Santos Pinto (Covilhã)


	Covilhã		Moncarapachense

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.25	4.33
	1.75	3.25	4.2
	1.87	3.4	4
	1.81	3.3	4.3
	1.86	3.37	3.97	Watch
	1.73	3.25	4.33
	1.81	3.54	4.37
	1.87	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.77)	3.35 ↑ (3.28)	4.19 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Covilhã
50.8%

Draw
27.4%

Moncarapachense
21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

29.4%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Covilhã have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Moncarapachense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Covilhã - Moncarapachense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
53. Oliveira P. R. (G) 4. Caveira T. 44. David Santos 11. Dener 19. Duarte L. 55. Garcia F. 6. Maio F. 15. Nico 91. Paula G. 70. Peixoto R. 77. Ramalho D. (C)	33. Turossi L. (G) 10. Albarino 6. Conceicao D. (C) 11. Cruz I. 8. Diogo Machado 13. Fabinho 21. Issoko A. 2. Oliveira E: 22. Silva E. 3. Soares F. 23. Tavinho

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, Ramalho D. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Cruz I. ⚽,
35', 🟨,
44', 1 - 2, Issoko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Maio F. ↓, Salgado L. M. ↑,
58', 🟨,
62', Peixoto R. ↓, Olivieira L. ↑,
67', Issoko A. ↓, Sena Y. ↑,
76', Cruz I. ↓, Fati N. ↑,
77', 🟨,
81', Alvarinho 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 2, Nico M. ⚽,
90+10', 3 - 2, Duarte L. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Covilhã is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Moncarapachense is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Moncarapachense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Covilhã is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Covilhã
Portuguese Liga 3
05.10.24	Covilhã - Oliveira Hospital	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Atlético CP - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Covilhã - Pombal	4:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
15.09.24	SC Lusitânia - Covilhã	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Covilhã - Belenenses	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLT
- Lusitano Ginásio Clube Moncarapachense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
06.10.24	Amora - Moncarapachense	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Moncarapachense - Lagoa	2:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	Moncarapachense - Louletano	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
15.09.24	Estrela da Amadora B - Moncarapachense	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Moncarapachense - Sintrense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWT

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