The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Covilhã 34.4%
Draw 29.5%
Oliveirense 36.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34%
31%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
30.7%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Covilhã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Oliveirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Covilhã than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oliveirense than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Covilhã - Oliveirense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pinto Galil L. G. (G) 45. Aidara M. 6. Barbosa A. (C) 8. Coelho R. 7. Danny 23. Gomes E. 22. Gomes Silva E. 5. Innusah H. 2. Kauan 99. Niang C. 18. Pacheco J.
33. Perez U. (G) 55. Bastos L. 8. Braga V. 6. Daniel J. 95. Fonseca T. 10. Joao Tavares 23. Johny 70. Kiko Felix 24. Loureiro G. 14. Martins S. 22. Rei R.
Substitutes
80. Cascalheira G. 21. Cruz J. 12. Duarte F. (G) 9. Guilherme Silva 25. Isaac Djei B. A. 96. Jailson . Peixoto M. 4. Silva D. 55. Silva T.
1. Dabo R. (G) 16. Goncalves R. P. 4. Joao Felix 9. Marques R. 27. Monteiro M. 80. Onohara K. 7. Rodriguez Y. 78. Sancho D. 3. Silva G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Niang C. 🟨,
37', Barbosa A. 🟨,
41', Pacheco J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Coelho R. ↓, Cascalheira G. ↑,
68', Kiko Felix ↓, Sancho D. ↑,
68', Fonseca T. ↓, Marques R. ↑,
69', Kauan 🟨,
71', Gomes Silva E. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
78', Danny ↓, Jailson ↑,
78', Innusah H. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,
85', Loureiro G. 🟨,
86', Niang C. ↓, Guilherme Silva ↑,
86', Pacheco J. ↓, Isaac Djei B. A. ↑,
89', Joao Tavares ↓, Monteiro M. ↑,
90', Aidara M. 🟨,
90', Rodriguez Y. 🟨,
90+5', Pinto Galil L. G. 🟨,
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 8th in the Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Covilhã won 4.
Recent results have been tough for Covilhã (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Oliveirense have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Covilhã has recorded 9 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:19 (averaging 1.5:1.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Covilhã against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with 16:8 goals (averaging 1.6:0.8 per game).
Portugal
Watch
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Pinto Galil L. G. (G) 
Aidara M. 
Barbosa A. (C) 
Innusah H. 
Niang C. 
Perez U. (G) 
Jailson 
Onohara K. 
Rodriguez Y. 
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