Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Cracovia 2		Czarni Połaniec

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.05	3.95
	1.52	4.61	4.73	Watch
	1.49	4.88	4.88	Watch
	1.64	4.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.6)	4.44 ↑ (4.2)	4.34 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia 2
58.2%

Draw
20.7%

Czarni Połaniec
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

22%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

20.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Czarni Połaniec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia 2 than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (-2%)

Cracovia 2 - Czarni Połaniec Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 13).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cracovia 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Czarni Połaniec has had a series of away games.

In this match, Cracovia 2 is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cracovia 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Cracovia 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.09.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Cracovia 2	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Cracovia 2 - Avia Świdnik	4:5 ✺
31.08.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Cracovia 2	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Cracovia 2 - Naprzód Jędrzejów	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Cracovia 2	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWTL
- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.09.25	Czarni Połaniec - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	5:2 ✺
05.09.25	Wisła II Kraków - Czarni Połaniec	2:4 ✺
30.08.25	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Czarni Połaniec	3:1 ✺
27.08.25	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Czarni Połaniec	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Czarni Połaniec	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
13.05.23	Cracovia 2 - Czarni Połaniec	1:0
08.10.22	Czarni Połaniec - Cracovia 2	1:0
12.03.22	Czarni Połaniec - Cracovia 2	0:3
15.08.21	Cracovia 2 - Czarni Połaniec	1:1

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