Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 6

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday


	Korona Kielce 2		Cracovia 2

	1	X	2
	1.58	4	4.2
	1.58	4.05	4.25
	1.54	4.08	4.4
	2.24	3.76	2.66	Watch
	1.58	4.1	4.51	Watch
	1.7	3.85	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (2.13)	3.97 ↑ (3.45)	3.9 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Korona Kielce 2
53.6%

Draw
23%

Cracovia 2
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

25.9%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

24.2%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Korona Kielce 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Korona Kielce 2's performance.

Cracovia 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cracovia 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Korona Kielce 2 than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Korona Kielce 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cracovia 2 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cracovia 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Korona Kielce 2 - Cracovia 2 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Korona 2 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Biedrzycki B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, Mustafaev R. (Pen),
64', 🟥,
85', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Korona 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cracovia 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Korona 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Korona 2 is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Korona 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Korona 2 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Korona Kielce 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.08.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Korona Kielce 2	2:3 ✺
24.08.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Stal Kraśnik	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Korona Kielce 2	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Korona Kielce 2 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:2 ✺
01.08.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Korona Kielce 2	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWTL
- Cracovia 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
27.08.25	Cracovia 2 - Naprzód Jędrzejów	1:1 ✺
22.08.25	Wiślanie Skawina - Cracovia 2	6:2 ✺
16.08.25	Cracovia 2 - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:2 ✺
09.08.25	Star Starachowice - Cracovia 2	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Cracovia 2 - Wisłoka Dębica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
29.04.23	Cracovia 2 - Korona Kielce 2	1:4
24.09.22	Korona Kielce 2 - Cracovia 2	0:0
03.04.21	Cracovia 2 - Korona Kielce 2	2:0
26.08.20	Korona Kielce 2 - Cracovia 2	3:0

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