Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	Cracovia 2		Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.35	5.3
	1.61	4.4	3.85
	1.53	4.33	4.91	Watch
	1.55	4.33	4.9	Watch
	1.46	4.2	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (2.05)	4.32 ↑ (3.55)	4.86 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia 2
60.1%

Draw
21.1%

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

25.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

24.6%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cracovia 2's performance.

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sparta Kazimierza Wielka might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia 2 than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cracovia 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Kazimierza Wielka than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sparta Kazimierza Wielka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Cracovia 2 - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Predictions

Users Predictions: Cracovia 2 will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cracovia 2 will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Cracovia 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kazimierza Wielka has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Cracovia 2 is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
05.10.25	Cracovia 2 - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Cracovia 2	0:1 ✺
20.09.25	Cracovia 2 - Czarni Połaniec	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Cracovia 2	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Cracovia 2 - Avia Świdnik	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWWL
- Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
04.10.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Świdniczanka Świdnik	2:3 ✺
28.09.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	1:0 ✺
21.09.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Naprzód Jędrzejów	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Czarni Połaniec - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	5:2 ✺
06.09.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Stal Kraśnik	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Cracovia 2 - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide