Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 10

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Chełmianka Chełm		Sparta Kazimierza Wielka

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.8	3.75
	1.7	3.88	3.96	Watch
	1.72	3.8	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.74)	3.83 ↑ (3.83)	3.82 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chełmianka Chełm
52.7%

Draw
23.6%

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

23.7%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

22.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chełmianka Chełm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Sparta Kazimierza Wielka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chełmianka Chełm than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sparta Kazimierza Wielka than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Chełmianka Chełm - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chełmianka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 0)

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Chełmianka has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kazimierza Wielka has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kazimierza Wielka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chełmianka is considered a favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chełmianka Chełm
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
20.09.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Chełmianka Chełm	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Avia Świdnik	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Świdniczanka Świdnik - Chełmianka Chełm	1:1 ✺
31.08.25	Chełmianka Chełm - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Stal Kraśnik - Chełmianka Chełm	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTTWL
- Sparta Kazimierza Wielka
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
21.09.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Naprzód Jędrzejów	0:2 ✺
13.09.25	Czarni Połaniec - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	5:2 ✺
06.09.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Stal Kraśnik	0:4 ✺
30.08.25	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	1:1 ✺
27.08.25	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Korona Kielce 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

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