Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 30

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Cracovia 2		Stal Kraśnik

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.3	2.95
	1.75	3.55	3.8
	1.77	3.9	3.74
	1.72	4	3.81	Watch
	1.75	3.5	3.5
	1.68	3.94	4.35	Watch
	2.12	3.52	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.12)	3.67 ↑ (3.52)	3.55 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cracovia 2
49.6%

Draw
24.8%

Stal Kraśnik
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

25.2%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

23.6%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cracovia 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cracovia 2's performance.

Stal Kraśnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stal Kraśnik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cracovia 2 than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stal Kraśnik than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stal Kraśnik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cracovia 2 - Stal Kraśnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Mustafaev R. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Martinez S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 1 - 2, Duarte ⚽,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Stal Kraśnik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Cracovia 2 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Cracovia 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cracovia 2
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
02.05.26	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka - Cracovia 2	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Podlasie Biała Podlaska - Cracovia 2	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Cracovia 2 - Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Czarni Połaniec - Cracovia 2	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Cracovia 2 - Świdniczanka Świdnik	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLT
- Stal Kraśnik
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
01.05.26	Stal Kraśnik - Wisłoka Dębica	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Czarni Połaniec - Stal Kraśnik	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Stal Kraśnik - KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Sokół Kolbuszowa Dolna - Stal Kraśnik	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Stal Kraśnik - Wiślanie Skawina	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
18.10.25	Stal Kraśnik - Cracovia 2	2:2
15.05.21	Cracovia 2 - Stal Kraśnik	2:1
10.10.20	Stal Kraśnik - Cracovia 2	0:3

Cracovia 2 - Stal Kraśnik: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide