Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 10

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Badgers Sports Ground (Eltham)


	Cray Valley Paper Mills		Brentwood Town

	1	X	2
	2.72	3.55	2.15
	3.61	3.47	1.92	Watch
	2.7	3.55	2.24
	2.55	3.4	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.53)	3.49 ↓ (3.66)	2.13 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cray Valley Paper Mills
31.4%

Draw
26%

Brentwood Town
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

24.6%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

24.1%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cray Valley Paper Mills has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Brentwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cray Valley Paper Mills than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentwood Town than the current prediction. (-2%)

Cray Valley Paper Mills - Brentwood Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Aileru K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
55', 1 - 1, Ogunleye D. ⚽,
71', 1 - 2, Ogunleye D. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 3, Nzengo J. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).

Cray Valley PM has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brentwood is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cray Valley PM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cray Valley Paper Mills
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Sittingbourne - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:1 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Canvey Island	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Chatham Town	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Cheshunt - Cray Valley Paper Mills	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Berkhamsted	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLTW
- Brentwood Town
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Brentwood Town - Welling United	3:0 ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
18.10.25	Brentwood Town - Ramsgate	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Canvey Island - Brentwood Town	3:2 ✺
11.10.25	Brentwood Town - Dartford	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Westfields - Brentwood Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Brentwood Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	4:3
Club Friendly
05.09.20	Brentwood Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	0:1

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