Match Info

Isthmian League Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Brentwood Town		Welling United

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.4
	1.75	3.8	3.55
	1.74	4.06	3.68
	1.76	4.11	3.65	Watch
	1.75	3.6	3.5
	1.75	3.85	3.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.94)	3.84 ↓ (3.9)	3.58 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brentwood Town
51.3%

Draw
23.5%

Welling United
25.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.4%

23.6%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

24.3%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brentwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Welling United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentwood Town than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (+3%)

Brentwood Town - Welling United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Edwards C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 2 - 0, Kymani T. ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Isthmian League Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 18).

Brentwood has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Welling is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brentwood will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brentwood won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Brentwood won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Welling	14	10	0	4	27:15	12	30
13	Brentwood	12	5	0	7	22:21	1	15

Last Results with these Odds

Welling United - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 29.01%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brentwood Town
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.04.26	Burgess Hill Town - Brentwood Town	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Brentwood Town - Chatham Town	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Brentwood Town - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Hashtag United - Brentwood Town	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Brentwood Town - Lewes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLWW
- Welling United
English Isthmian League Premier Division
04.04.26	Welling United - Chichester City	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Wingate & Finchley - Welling United	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Welling United - Whitehawk	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Potters Bar Town - Welling United	2:4 ✺
07.03.26	Burgess Hill Town - Welling United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
27.12.25	Welling United - Brentwood Town	1:4
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	Brentwood Town - Welling United	3:0

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