Match Info
Serie D - Group D - Round 18Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday
|
 |
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 |
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Crema |
|
Lentigione |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
1.95 |
|
 |
3.45 |
3.37 |
1.98 |
 Watch |
 |
3.43 |
3.3 |
1.97 |
|
 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
1.96 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.5 ↑
(2.91) |
3.27 ↓
(3.38) |
1.97 ↓
(2.18) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Crema
26% | Draw
27.8% | Lentigione
46.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Crema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crema's form might have worsened.Lentigione has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crema than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (-3.5%)Crema - Lentigione Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Nanni L. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crema won 0.Crema is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).Lentigione is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).Lentigione may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Lentigione might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Crema won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 1:2).Including home matches between the teams, Crema won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Lentigione | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 13 |
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| 15 | Crema | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:14 | -10 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group D | | | 07.09.25 | Lentigione - Crema | 3:0 | | 15.01.23 | Lentigione - Crema | 2:1 | | 11.09.22 | Crema - Lentigione | 1:1 | | 02.02.20 | Lentigione - Crema | 2:1 | | 29.09.19 | Crema - Lentigione | 0:4 | | 24.03.19 | Crema - Lentigione | 2:1 | | 18.11.18 | Lentigione - Crema | 1:2 |
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