Match Info

Serie D - Group D - Round 13

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Lentigione		Sasso Marconi

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.55	5.15
	1.61	3.67	4.99	Watch
	1.53	3.5	6.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.52)	3.57 ↓ (3.8)	5.43 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lentigione
57.8%

Draw
25.5%

Sasso Marconi
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.6%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4%

22.6%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lentigione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lentigione than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Lentigione - Sasso Marconi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Battistello A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lentigione won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Lentigione is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Lentigione won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.5:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Lentigione won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lentigione Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.11.25	Piacenza - Lentigione	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Lentigione - Correggese	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Pistoiese - Lentigione	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Lentigione - Pro Palazzolo	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Imolese - Lentigione	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLLW
- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
16.11.25	Sasso Marconi - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Tuttocuoio - Sasso Marconi	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sasso Marconi - Tropical Coriano	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Correggese - Sasso Marconi	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Sasso Marconi - Crema	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
19.01.25	Sasso Marconi - Lentigione	1:2
06.02.22	Sasso Marconi - Lentigione	0:3
02.10.21	Lentigione - Sasso Marconi	2:0
28.03.21	Sasso Marconi - Lentigione	0:1
01.11.20	Lentigione - Sasso Marconi	3:0
05.01.20	Lentigione - Sasso Marconi	0:0
01.09.19	Sasso Marconi - Lentigione	2:3

Lentigione - Sasso Marconi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide