Match Info

Date: 11 March 2022, Friday


	Creteil		Concarneau

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.1	1.88
	3.75	2.88	1.98
	4	3.1	1.94
	4.53	3.25	1.93
	3.8	3	1.95
	4	3.28	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↑ (3.73)	3.1 (3.1)	1.93 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Creteil
23%

Draw
29.6%

Concarneau
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.6%

29.5%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

23.1%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Creteil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Concarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Creteil than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concarneau than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Concarneau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Creteil - Concarneau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Creteil won 0.

Creteil is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Concarneau is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Creteil could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Concarneau will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Creteil won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Creteil won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Créteil-Lusitanos
French Ligue 3
05.03.22	Laval - Creteil	3:1 ✺
01.03.22	Creteil - Sète 34	3:1 ✺
25.02.22	Creteil - Sedan	1:2 ✺
19.02.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Creteil	3:2 ✺
04.02.22	Châteauroux - Creteil	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLL
- US Concarneau
French Ligue 3
07.03.22	Concarneau - Le Mans	0:1 ✺
25.02.22	Avranches - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
18.02.22	Concarneau - Cholet	2:0 ✺
11.02.22	Bastia-Borgo - Concarneau	1:1 ✺
07.02.22	Concarneau - Villefranche	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
01.10.21	Concarneau - Creteil	1:0
01.05.21	Concarneau - Creteil	3:0
18.12.20	Creteil - Concarneau	1:1
13.12.19	Creteil - Concarneau	4:2
16.03.18	Creteil - Concarneau	1:1
13.10.17	Concarneau - Creteil	1:1
28.04.17	Concarneau - Creteil	1:3

Creteil - Concarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide