Match Info

ENGLAND: Professional Development League

Date: 21 October 2024, Monday


	Crewe Alexandra U21		Birmingham City U21

	1	X	2
	3.85	4.6	1.6
	3.9	5.03	1.58
	4	5.16	1.61	Watch
	3.75	5	1.57
	4.3	4.35	1.57
	3.85	4.6	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.94 ↑ (2.84)	4.79 ↑ (4.6)	1.59 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crewe Alexandra U21
23.2%

Draw
19.1%

Birmingham City U21
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

20%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

19.3%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crewe Alexandra U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Crewe Alexandra U21's form might have worsened.

Birmingham City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Birmingham City U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crewe Alexandra U21 than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Crewe Alexandra U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham City U21 than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Birmingham City U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Crewe Alexandra U21 - Birmingham City U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Crewe U21 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Birmingham U21 will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Hodkin J. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Ellis O. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 2 - 1, Hodkin J. ⚽,
56', 3 - 1, Hodkin J. ⚽,
77', 3 - 2, Isichei D. ⚽,
83', 4 - 2, Pendleton B. (Own goal),

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 9 and 8).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Birmingham U21 will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Crewe U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 1:11 (average 0.3:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Crewe U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:5 (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crewe Alexandra U21
English Professional Development League
14.10.24	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Peterborough United U21	2:0 ✺
04.10.24	Barnsley U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Wigan Athletic U21	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Burnley U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	3:1 ✺
16.09.24	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Watford U21	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLTLW
- Birmingham City U21
English Professional Development League
15.10.24	Coventry City U21 - Birmingham City U21	8:0 ✺
30.09.24	Sheffield Wednesday U21 - Birmingham City U21	2:1 ✺
23.09.24	Birmingham City U21 - Fleetwood Town U21	3:2 ✺
17.09.24	Birmingham City U21 - Millwall U21	4:1 ✺
30.08.24	Birmingham City U21 - Cardiff City U21	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Professional Development League
02.04.24	Birmingham City U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	3:1
06.11.23	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Birmingham City U21	0:3
23.03.23	Birmingham City U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	3:0
31.10.22	Crewe Alexandra U21 - Birmingham City U21	0:2

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