Match Info

Date: 31 March 2021, Wednesday


	Criciúma		Próspera Criciúma

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.6
	1.87	3.2	4
	1.96	2.9	3.9
	2.04	3.13	4.26
	2.04	3.03	3.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.57)	3.13 ↓ (3.57)	3.92 ↓ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
47%

Draw
29.5%

Próspera Criciúma
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

25.1%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

17.7%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Criciúma's form might have worsened.

Próspera Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Próspera Criciúma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Criciúma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Próspera Criciúma than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Criciúma - Próspera Criciúma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation to Campeonato Catarinense (Relegation to Play Offs) and 9).

Criciúma is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Próspera is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Criciúma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Criciúma will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
28.03.21	Joinville - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
25.03.21	Criciúma - Brusque	2:2 ✺
21.03.21	Figueirense - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.03.21	Marília - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
14.03.21	Criciúma - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTTTL
- Próspera Criciúma
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
28.03.21	Próspera Criciúma - Avaí	1:1 ✺
24.03.21	Concórdia - Próspera Criciúma	4:0 ✺
20.03.21	Próspera Criciúma - Metropolitano	2:0 ✺
03.03.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Próspera Criciúma	2:0 ✺
28.02.21	Hercílio Luz - Próspera Criciúma	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLWLW

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