Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 3

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion HNK Rijeka (Rijeka) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	18:00	SuperSport 1
Argentina	13:00	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	20:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	18:00	A Spor, DAZN
Azerbaijan	20:00	CBC Sport
Bolivia	12:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	13:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:00	DAZN Canada
Colombia	11:00	ESPN
Croatia	18:00	Nova TV
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	11:00	ESPN
Estonia	19:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	UEFA TV
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	18:00	L'Equipe Live Foot, New World TV
Georgia	20:00	Silk Universal
Germany	18:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:00	Alpha TV, Nova Sports Prime
Hungary	18:00	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	16:00	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	21:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+
Indonesia	23:00	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI
Ireland	17:00	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	19:00	Sport 2
Italy	18:00	Sky Sport Uno
Japan	01:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	19:00	Gotv
Kosovo	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Lithuania	19:00	Go3 Extra Sports
Maldives	21:00	Medianet
Mexico	10:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Mongolia	00:00	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	18:00	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport
New Zealand	05:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	17:00	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	18:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Pakistan	21:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	12:00	ESPN
Peru	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	18:00	Polsat Sport 1
Romania	19:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	19:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:00	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	18:00	Sport 1
South Africa	18:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ViX Latin America
South Korea	01:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	19:00	A Spor
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	17:00	BBC Radio 5 Live, ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	13:00	Disney+
Venezuela	12:00	Disney+, ESPN


	Croatia		England

	1	X	2
	4.50	3.90	1.73
	4.40	3.90	1.72
	4.80	4.00	1.64
	4.97	4.00	1.74
	4.67	4.08	1.75	Watch
	4.90	3.90	1.72
	4.81	3.96	1.72	Watch
	4.70	3.90	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (3.6)	3.96 ↑ (3.6)	1.71 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Croatia
20.2%

Draw
24.1%

England
55.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Croatia's form might have worsened.

England has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting England's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	10%	80%

Croatia - England Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (4.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.62) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - England (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: England will win (39 of 48 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.21% – 92.29%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): England will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. England (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Livakovic D. (G) Barcelona 2. Stanisic J. Bayern Munich 5. Vuskovic L. Brighton 4. Gvardiol J. Manchester City 14. Perisic I. PSV 10. Modric L. (C) AC Milan 8. Kovacic M. Manchester City 7. Ivanovic F. Lens 17. Sucic P. Inter 16. Baturina M. Como 11. Musa P. FC Dallas	1. Pickford J. (G) Everton 22. Quansah J. Bayer Leverkusen 5. Konsa E. Arsenal 6. Guehi M. Manchester City 3. Hall L. Newcastle Utd 8. Anderson E. Manchester City 4. Scott A. Bournemouth 7. Saka B. Arsenal 10. Bellingham J. Real Madrid 11. Gordon A. Barcelona 9. Kane H. (C) Bayern Munich
Substitutes
18. Jakic K. PAOK 23. Kotarski D. (G) Din. Zagreb 9. Kramaric A. Hoffenheim 20. Matanovic I. Freiburg 22. Misic J. Din. Zagreb 12. Pandur I. (G) Rangers 15. Pasalic M. Atalanta 19. Pasalic M. Orlando City 3. Smolcic I. Como 21. Sucic L. Real Sociedad 6. Sutalo J. Lazio 13. Vlasic N. Torino	2. Alexander-Arnold T. Real Madrid 15. Branthwaite J. Everton 19. Calvert-Lewin D. Leeds 12. Chalobah T. Como 21. Eze E. Arsenal 18. Garner J. Everton 20. Gibbs-White M. Nottingham 16. Lewis-Skelly M. Arsenal 14. Ngumoha R. Liverpool 17. Rogers M. Chelsea 23. Steele J. (G) Brighton 13. Trafford J. (G) Leeds
Coaches
Bilic S.	Tuchel T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
8', 0 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Bellingham J. ⚽, Gordon A. (A),
39', 0 - 3, Gordon A. ⚽, Quansah J. (A),
45', 0 - 4, Saka B. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Musa P. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
46', Sucic P. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
46', Baturina M. ↓, Vlasic N. ↑,
53', 0 - 5, Kane H. ⚽, Anderson E. (A),
57', Modric L. ↓, Jakic K. ↑,
68', 0 - 6, Saka B. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
68', Kovacic M. 🟨,
70', Gordon A. ↓, Eze E. ↑,
70', Scott A. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
70', Kane H. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
76', Stanisic J. ↓, Sutalo J. ↑,
79', Anderson E. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
79', Hall L. ↓, Lewis-Skelly M. ↑,
87', 0 - 7, Rogers M. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),

Preview

Croatia is ranked FIFA: 13., and England is ranked FIFA: 4..

Bookmakers give the edge to England for this game.

Confirmed absences for Croatia: Erlic M. (Injury) Juranovic J. (Injury) Stanisic J. (Illness).

Confirmed absences for England: Burn D. (Ankle Injury) Henderson D. (Foot Injury) James R. (Muscle Injury) Livramento V. (Injury) Mainoo K. (Injury) O'Reilly N. (Injury) Palmer C. (Muscle Injury) Rashford M. (Health problems) Rice D. (Injury) Spence D. (Injury) Stones J. (Injury).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Croatia has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:8 (averaging 1:1.6 goals per game).

Outrights of UEFA Nations League for now

England: 13.99% Croatia: 0.31%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Croatia
UEFA Nations League
29.09.26	Spain - Croatia	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Czech Republic - Croatia	1:2 ✺
FIFA World Cup
02.07.26	Portugal - Croatia	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Croatia - Ghana	2:1 ✺
23.06.26	Panama - Croatia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLWW
- England
UEFA Nations League
29.09.26	Czech Republic - England	0:2 ✺
26.09.26	England - Spain	2:3 ✺
FIFA World Cup
18.07.26	France - England	4:6 ✺
15.07.26	England - Argentina	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Norway - England	1:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
17.06.26	England - Croatia	4:2
UEFA Euro
13.06.21	England - Croatia	1:0
UEFA Nations League
18.11.18	England - Croatia	2:1
12.10.18	Croatia - England	0:0
FIFA World Cup
11.07.18	Croatia - England	2:1 ET

Croatia - England