Match Info

UEFA Nations League - League A - Round 1

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Wembley Stadium (London)

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport
Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN, Puls 4
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	MAXtv To Go, SportKlub 1
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Ecuador	ESPN
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	L'Equipe Live Foot, New World TV
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Joyn
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hungary	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI, RCTI+
Ireland	Virgin Media Player, Virgin Media Two
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	Infinity+, Italia 1, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Maldives	Medianet
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3, sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	ViX Latin America
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana, RTVE Play, TVE La 1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Turkey	A Haber, Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus, FOX Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	England		Spain

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.6	1.91
	3.60	3.30	1.95
	3.7	3.45	1.98
	4.04	3.6	1.98
	3.95	3.64	1.99	Watch
	3.95	3.5	1.93
	4.02	3.64	1.99	Watch
	3.85	3.65	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.88 ↑ (2.79)	3.55 ↑ (3.33)	1.96 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

England
24.6%

Draw
26.8%

Spain
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

28.6%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

England has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that England's form might have worsened.

Spain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spain's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	30.8%	35.9%

England - Spain Predictions

Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. England will win (votes: 13 - 33.3%). Spain will win (votes: 14 - 35.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 30.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Spain: 20.8% – 51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. England (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Spain (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Spain (1.57) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (1.61) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Spain (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (1.36) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - England (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. England (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Spain (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Trafford J. (G) Leeds 22. Quansah J. Bayer Leverkusen 5. Konsa E. Arsenal 6. Guehi M. Manchester City 3. O'Reilly N. Manchester City 8. Anderson E. Manchester City 16. Lewis-Skelly M. Arsenal 7. Saka B. Arsenal 10. Bellingham J. Real Madrid 11. Gordon A. Barcelona 9. Kane H. (C) Bayern Munich	23. Simon U. (G) Ath Bilbao 12. Pubill M. Atl. Madrid 5. Cubarsi P. Barcelona 14. Laporte A. Ath Bilbao 22. Cucurella M. Real Madrid 16. Rodri (C) Barcelona 8. Ruiz F. PSG 19. Lamine Yamal Barcelona 10. Olmo D. Barcelona 17. Williams N. Ath Bilbao 7. Torres F. PSG
Substitutes
2. Alexander-Arnold T. Real Madrid 15. Branthwaite J. Everton 19. Calvert-Lewin D. Leeds 12. Chalobah T. Como 21. Eze E. Arsenal 18. Garner J. Everton 20. Gibbs-White M. Nottingham 14. Hall L. Newcastle Utd 1. Pickford J. (G) Everton 17. Rogers M. Chelsea 4. Scott A. Bournemouth 23. Steele J. (G) Brighton	15. Baena A. Atl. Madrid 9. Fermin Barcelona 3. Grimaldo A. Atl. Madrid 2. Huijsen D. Real Madrid 13. Martinez J. (G) Inter 6. Merino M. Arsenal 21. Oyarzabal M. Real Sociedad 20. Pedri Barcelona 11. Pino Y. Crystal Palace 1. Raya D. (G) Arsenal 18. Zubimendi M. Arsenal
Coaches
Tuchel T.	de la Fuente L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Lamine Yamal ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Gordon A. ⚽, Bellingham J. (A),
40', 2 - 1, Kane H. ⚽, O'Reilly N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', Kane H. (Penalty Awarded),
55', Torres F. ↓, Oyarzabal M. ↑,
55', Williams N. ↓, Baena A. ↑,
60', 2 - 2, Baena A. ⚽, Olmo D. (A),
67', O'Reilly N. 🟨,
69', Guehi M. 🟨,
70', Ruiz F. ↓, Pedri ↑,
70', Gordon A. ↓, Rogers M. ↑,
70', Lewis-Skelly M. ↓, Garner J. ↑,
74', 2 - 3, Oyarzabal M. ⚽, Baena A. (A),
81', Bellingham J. 🟨,
82', Olmo D. ↓, Merino M. ↑,
83', Saka B. ↓, Gibbs-White M. ↑,
83', Kane H. ↓, Calvert-Lewin D. ↑,
89', Guehi M. ↓, Branthwaite J. ↑,

Preview

England is ranked FIFA: 4., and Spain is ranked FIFA: 1..

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Spain holding a narrow advantage.

Confirmed absences for England: Burn D. (Ankle Injury) Henderson D. (Foot Injury) James R. (Muscle Injury) Livramento V. (Injury) Mainoo K. (Injury) Palmer C. (Muscle Injury) Rashford M. (Health problems) Rice D. (Injury) Spence D. (Injury) Stones J. (Injury).

Confirmed absences for Spain: Garcia J. (Knee Injury) Gavi (Suspended).

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, England has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:10 (averaging 1.4:2 goals per game).

Outrights of UEFA Nations League for now

Spain: 26.08% England: 13.99%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- England
FIFA World Cup
18.07.26	France - England	4:6 ✺
15.07.26	England - Argentina	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Norway - England	1:2 ET ✺
05.07.26	Mexico - England	2:3 ✺
01.07.26	England - D.R. Congo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWWW
- Spain
FIFA World Cup
19.07.26	Spain - Argentina	1:0 ET ✺
14.07.26	France - Spain	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Spain - Belgium	2:1 ✺
06.07.26	Portugal - Spain	0:1 ✺
02.07.26	Spain - Austria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro
14.07.24	Spain - England	2:1
UEFA Nations League
15.10.18	Spain - England	2:3
08.09.18	England - Spain	1:2
Friendly
15.11.16	England - Spain	2:2
13.11.15	Spain - England	2:0

England - Spain: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide