Match Info

Prva NL - Round 24

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion ŠRC Marijan Šuto Mrma (Zmijavci)


	Croatia Zmijavci		Karlovac

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.9	7.5
	1.6	3.3	5.35
	1.67	3.57	4.9
	1.61	3.51	5.51	Watch
	1.75	3	4.6
	1.65	3.32	5.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (2.87)	3.43 ↑ (3.27)	5.5 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Croatia Zmijavci
56.7%

Draw
26.7%

Karlovac
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28.1%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

26.8%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Croatia Zmijavci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Croatia Zmijavci's performance.

Karlovac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karlovac might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Croatia Zmijavci than the current prediction. (-26.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Croatia Zmijavci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlovac than the current prediction. (+25.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karlovac could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Croatia Zmijavci - Karlovac Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Croatia Zmijavci will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%). Karlovac will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Croatia Zmijavci: 67.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Croatia Zmijavci (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gudelj L. (G) 20. Condric D. 7. Gadze G. 98. Gudelj T. 15. Iyendjock J. 22. Jukic-Peladic T. 17. Krolo I. 8. Kukoc M. 5. Nazor K. 2. Pavlek D. 25. Radujkovic N.	1. Maric D. I. (G) 2. Barac M. 5. Braun P. 11. Budimir J. 19. Kapulica L. 13. Mrkela P. 8. Paracki G. (C) 27. Salic S. 18. Sop M. 4. Stepinac G. 3. Zilinski F.
Substitutes
4. Arkovic T. 6. Bradaric L. 24. Cotic R. 12. Dizdar J. (G) 14. Jahiji D. 23. Krstanovic I. 10. Majic J. 9. Suto M. 21. Zuzul A.	21. Gaspar M. 17. Koscevic Z. 28. Mionic A. 22. Raguz P. 16. Regetas D. 12. Sarkanj T. (G) 24. Simcic D. 23. Stosic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Paracki G. 🟨,
41', Paracki G. ↓, Raguz P. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Gadze G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Iyendjock J. 🟨,
52', Jukic-Peladic T. 🟨,
54', Zilinski F. 🟨,
61', Gadze G. 🟨,
62', Stepinac G. 🟨,
88', 🟨,
90+1', (Penalty Awarded),
90+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Croatia Zmijavci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Croatia Zmijavci won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Croatia Zmijavci won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Croatia Zmijavci	7	4	1	2	11:6	5	13
11	Karlovac	7	2	2	3	8:10	-2	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Croatia Zmijavci
Croatian Prva NL
21.03.26	Dubrava - Croatia Zmijavci	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Bijelo Brdo	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Jarun Zagreb - Croatia Zmijavci	4:0 ✺
01.03.26	Croatia Zmijavci - Rudeš	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Orijent - Croatia Zmijavci	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTLLW
- Karlovac
Croatian Prva NL
20.03.26	Karlovac - Hrvace	0:1 ✺
13.03.26	Karlovac - Orijent	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Cibalia - Karlovac	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Sesvete - Karlovac	3:0 ✺
20.02.26	Opatija - Karlovac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
09.11.25	Croatia Zmijavci - Karlovac	2:2
30.08.25	Karlovac - Croatia Zmijavci	4:1

Upcoming Matches