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Current Win Probability
Chicago Fire II 47.5%
Draw 23.7%
Toronto FC II 28.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
21.9%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.3%
21.1%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chicago Fire II's form might have worsened.
Toronto FC II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toronto FC II's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago Fire II than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chicago Fire II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toronto FC II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Chicago Fire II - Toronto FC II Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Chicago Fire II (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chicago Fire II (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
60. Nemo J. (G) 27. Borso D. 30. Sandmeyer J. 66. Nagle C. 55. Nigg D. 48. Fleming R. (C) 65. Pineda O. 72. Villanueva D. 49. Montiel J. 68. Glyut V. 28. Boltz D.
77. De Rosario A. (G) 72. Stampatori D. 75. Fisher R. 98. Kapor S. 73. Chisholm M. 87. Dawson L. 58. Stojadinovic M. 82. Boneau B. (C) 63. Pinnock S. 84. Khodri E. 69. Blyth T.
Substitutes
61. Bernhardt H. 54. Chavez E. 41. Diawara T. 53. Field J. 78. Gongadze G. (G) 34. Gonzalez O. 46. Morales C. 76. Napoe M. 58. Williams B.
68. Adamson D. 79. Bank F. 91. Barrow D. 74. Costabile L. 50. Kantorowicz D. (G) 64. Nolan J. 66. Nue-Brito D. 83. Omoregbe E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
15', De Rosario A. 🟨,
24', 0 - 1, Blyth T. ⚽,
31', Pineda O. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 2, Blyth T. ⚽, Pinnock S. (A),
45+4', 1 - 2, Villanueva D. ⚽, Nigg D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Boltz D. ↓, Diawara T. ↑,
46', Dawson L. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
46', Montiel J. ↓, Napoe M. ↑,
52', Chisholm M. 🟨,
57', 2 - 2, Diawara T. ⚽,
60', Boneau B. 🟨,
67', Stampatori D. ↓, Nue-Brito D. ↑,
67', Pinnock S. ↓, Bank F. ↑,
67', Blyth T. ↓, Barrow D. ↑,
82', Villanueva D. ↓, Bernhardt H. ↑,
82', Chisholm M. ↓, Costabile L. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Khodri E. ⚽,
90+2', Khodri E. ↓, Omoregbe E. ↑,
90+2', Borso D. ↓, Williams B. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 4, Nolan J. ⚽, Barrow D. (A),
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 4.
In recent matches, Chicago Fire II has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Toronto II's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Chicago Fire II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Chicago Fire II is considered a favorite.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Chicago Fire II won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 2.4:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Chicago Fire II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 1.8:0.3).
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Nemo J. (G) 
Nigg D. 
Pineda O. 
Montiel J. 
Glyut V. 
De Rosario A. (G) 
Blyth T. 
Diawara T. 
Williams B. 
Costabile L. 
Nolan J. 
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