Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 11

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Comandante Andrés Guacurarí (Garupá)


	Crucero del Norte		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.8	2.15
	3.4	2.85	2.2	Watch
	3.55	2.79	2.15
	3.75	2.8	2.27	Watch
	3.56	2.89	2.12
	3.4	2.85	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↓ (3.62)	2.83 ↑ (2.73)	2.18 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crucero del Norte
26.1%

Draw
32.2%

Sarmiento de La Banda
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

33.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

32.2%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crucero del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sarmiento de La Banda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Crucero del Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colli J. (G) 2. Aguilar J. 6. Arias J. 11. Bernal R. 3. Canzoniero L. 4. Dominguez B. 10. Gonzalez J. N. 9. Mariani B. 5. Mayorga S. 8. Santa Cruz M. 7. Soto L.	1. Mendonca J. (G) 6. Giordano A. 2. Herrera R. 5. Juarez N. 7. Lezcano L. 11. Lopez P. 8. Narese E. 3. Ochoa A. 10. Roldan I. 4. Solveyra A. 9. Vega C.
Substitutes
18. Golomba N. 15. Marciante L. 13. Marcucci M. 17. Perussato M. 14. Rotela F. 12. Semeniuk K. (G) 16. Vera J.	12. Acuna F. (G) 18. Arias J. 16. Pinto A. 14. Sanchez Arriola M. 17. Speck N. 13. Tevez A. 15. Triverio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', Giordano A. ↓, Triverio G. ↑,
28', 0 - 1, Roldan I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Santa Cruz M. ↓, Vera J. ↑,
46', Soto L. ↓, Perussato M. ↑,
51', Juarez N. 🟨,
58', Roldan I. 🟨,
62', Lezcano L. ↓, Speck N. ↑,
62', Roldan I. ↓, Sanchez Arriola M. ↑,
62', Mayorga S. ↓, Marciante L. ↑,
62', Bernal R. ↓, Golomba N. ↑,
70', 🟨,
81', Vega C. ↓, Arias J. ↑,
81', Lopez P. ↓, Pinto A. ↑,
85', 🟨,
88', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+7', 0 - 2, Pinto A. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sarmiento La Banda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Crucero del Norte won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Crucero del Norte won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crucero del Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.05.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Crucero del Norte	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Boca Unidos - Crucero del Norte	2:2 ✺
04.05.25	Crucero del Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Crucero del Norte	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Crucero del Norte - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TTLTW
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
18.05.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Juventud Antoniana	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.03.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Crucero del Norte	4:1
07.06.24	Sarmiento de La Banda - Crucero del Norte	2:1
14.04.24	Crucero del Norte - Sarmiento de La Banda	1:0

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