Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 8

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Comandante Andrés Guacurarí (Garupá)


	Crucero del Norte		General San Martín de Formosa

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.15
	2.7	2.8	2.65	Watch
	3.15	2.92	2.24
	3.09	2.92	2.51	Watch
	3.21	2.97	2.38
	2.8	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.25)	2.9 ↓ (2.93)	2.42 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crucero del Norte
30.5%

Draw
31.6%

General San Martín de Formosa
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

31%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

29.7%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crucero del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

General San Martín de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for General San Martín de Formosa than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Crucero del Norte - General San Martín de Formosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Colli J. (G) 2. Aguilar J. 6. Arias J. 3. Canzoniero L. 4. Dominguez B. 11. Gonzalez J. N. 8. Marciante L. 5. Mayorga S. 9. Penazola J. 10. Santa Cruz M. 7. Soto L.	1. Humeler K. (G) 4. Alderete R. P. 5. Bobadilla M. 9. Chiquichano O. 6. Denis M. E. 11. Duran F. 3. Griego A. 10. Nunez G. 2. Serrano R. 8. Tapia R. 7. Vicedo M.
Substitutes
15. De Olivera S. 14. Marcucci M. 18. Mariani B. 17. Perussato M. 13. Rotela F. 12. Semeniuk K. (G) 16. Vera J.	17. Aquino A. 14. Finardi B. 15. Illanes Machuca F. 16. Peralta B. 18. Siergiejuk M. 13. Suarez I. 12. Tavoliere F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Soto L. 🟨,
20', Canzoniero L. 🟥,
25', 🟨,
27', Santa Cruz M. ↓, De Olivera S. ↑,
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
79', Aguilar J. ↓, Marcucci M. ↑,
79', Penazola J. ↓, Mariani B. ↑,
84', 0 - 1, Aquino A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crucero del Norte won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Crucero del Norte may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

San Martín Formosa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Crucero del Norte won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Crucero del Norte won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crucero del Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
27.04.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Crucero del Norte	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Crucero del Norte - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	4:0 ✺
29.03.25	Crucero del Norte - Atlético de Rafaela	3:2 ✺
23.03.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - Crucero del Norte	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWLWL
- General San Martín de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
26.04.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Sol de América de Formosa - General San Martín de Formosa	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Atlético de Rafaela	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Sarmiento de La Banda - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	General San Martín de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.06.24	Crucero del Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	1:3
06.04.24	General San Martín de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	2:0
29.10.23	Crucero del Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0
27.08.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	1:0
28.06.23	Crucero del Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	1:0
07.05.23	General San Martín de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	2:0
24.08.22	Crucero del Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	3:1

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