Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 9

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Leoncio Benitez (Corrientes)


	Boca Unidos		Crucero del Norte

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.5
	2.49	3.45	2.44
	2.44	3.94	2.41
	2.65	3.9	2.32	Watch
	2.53	3.62	2.28
	2.49	3.45	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (1.88)	3.59 ↑ (3.25)	2.57 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Unidos
38.2%

Draw
25.7%

Crucero del Norte
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

27.3%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

26.1%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Boca Unidos's form might have worsened.

Crucero del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Crucero del Norte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Unidos than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Boca Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crucero del Norte than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Crucero del Norte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	0%	91.7%

Boca Unidos - Crucero del Norte Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Boca Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Crucero del Norte will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crucero del Norte: 76.1% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Crucero del Norte (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Crucero del Norte (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Crucero del Norte will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Crucero del Norte (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Acuna D. (G) 4. Cuevas P. 2. Fissore M. 6. Albornoz R. 3. Chamorro S. 8. Gomez L. 5. Schweizer A. 10. Paredez D. 11. Orfano E. 7. Franco N. 9. Osurak M.	1. Semeniuk K. (G) 4. Rotela F. 2. Aguilar J. 6. Arias J. 3. Marcucci M. 8. Santa Cruz M. 5. Marciante L. 10. Gonzalez N. 11. Mariani B. 7. Soto L. 9. Penazola J.
Substitutes
18. Colombini I. 15. Escalante I. 16. Navarro 14. Rodriguez T. 12. Turnes I. (G) 13. Vera L. 17. Villan E. D.	14. Alvarez P. 18. Amaya M. 12. Bresiski I. (G) 13. Orellana L. 17. Perussato M. 15. Vera J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Gonzalez J. N. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Schweizer A. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Penazola J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', Orfano E. ↓, Villan E. D. ↑,
60', Fissore M. ↓, Vera L. ↑,
60', Chamorro S. ↓, Navarro ↑,
80', Gomez L. ↓, Escalante I. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Albornoz R. (Pen),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Unidos won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Boca Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Boca Unidos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Unidos won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Boca Unidos won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 2.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Unidos
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.05.25	Juventud Antoniana - Boca Unidos	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Boca Unidos - Sol de América de Formosa	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Atlético de Rafaela - Boca Unidos	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de La Banda	2:1 ✺
06.04.25	Bartolomé Mitre - Boca Unidos	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWLWT
- Crucero del Norte
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.05.25	Crucero del Norte - General San Martín de Formosa	0:1 ✺
27.04.25	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Crucero del Norte	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Crucero del Norte - Juventud Antoniana	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Sol de América de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	4:0 ✺
29.03.25	Crucero del Norte - Atlético de Rafaela	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
11.08.24	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	1:2
23.06.24	Boca Unidos - Crucero del Norte	2:0
27.04.24	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	1:1
17.09.23	Boca Unidos - Crucero del Norte	2:1
22.07.23	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	1:3
28.05.23	Boca Unidos - Crucero del Norte	1:0
01.04.23	Crucero del Norte - Boca Unidos	1:1

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