Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 9

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Cruzeiro Arapiraca		Jacuipense

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.1	2.4
	2.8	3.4	2.2
	3.19	2.82	2.26
	2.62	2.88	2.5
	3.2	2.94	2.31
	3	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.13)	3.04 ↓ (5.5)	2.32 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro Arapiraca
31.2%

Draw
29.8%

Jacuipense
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

16.1%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro Arapiraca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro Arapiraca's form might have worsened.

Jacuipense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro Arapiraca than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro Arapiraca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacuipense than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Jacuipense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Jacuipense will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Cruzeiro Arapiraca is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Jacuipense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jacuipense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Jacuipense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro Arapiraca won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Brazilian Serie D
14.06.23	Bahia de Feira - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	3:0 ✺
11.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
08.06.23	Jacuipense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	4:1 ✺
03.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Sergipe	0:3 ✺
28.05.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Falcon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLLT
- EC Jacuipense
Brazilian Serie D
15.06.23	Jacuipense - Falcon	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Falcon - Jacuipense	1:1 ✺
08.06.23	Jacuipense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	4:1 ✺
04.06.23	Jacuipense - Retrô Brasil	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Bahia de Feira - Jacuipense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
08.06.23	Jacuipense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	4:1

Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Jacuipense