Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Date: 14 June 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Bahia de Feira		Cruzeiro Arapiraca

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.8	5.75
	1.45	3.25	8.25
	1.48	3.23	8.35
	1.44	3.6	6.5
	1.44	4.1	6.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.67)	3.6 ↑ (3.34)	7.12 ↑ (4.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia de Feira
62.1%

Draw
25.2%

Cruzeiro Arapiraca
12.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.4%

26.7%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

24.8%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia de Feira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bahia de Feira's performance.

Cruzeiro Arapiraca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cruzeiro Arapiraca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia de Feira than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bahia de Feira that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro Arapiraca than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cruzeiro Arapiraca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	40%	10%

Bahia de Feira - Cruzeiro Arapiraca Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Bahia de Feira will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Cruzeiro Arapiraca will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bahia de Feira: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Bahia de Feira is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bahia de Feira won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bahia de Feira
Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
07.06.23	Bahia de Feira - Falcon	3:1 ✺
03.06.23	Atlético de Alagoinhas - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Bahia de Feira - Jacuipense	2:2 ✺
20.05.23	Bahia de Feira - Retrô Brasil	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTTT
- Cruzeiro Arapiraca
Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Bahia de Feira	0:0 ✺
08.06.23	Jacuipense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	4:1 ✺
03.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Sergipe	0:3 ✺
28.05.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Falcon	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.06.23	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Bahia de Feira	0:0

Bahia de Feira - Cruzeiro Arapiraca