Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 6

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday


	Cruzeiro U20		Flamengo RJ U20

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.1
	2.14	3.35	2.95
	2	3.67	3.38
	2.02	3.58	3.2	Watch
	2.2	3.48	3.06
	2.14	3.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.85)	3.47 ↓ (3.63)	3.11 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cruzeiro U20
44.1%

Draw
26.4%

Flamengo RJ U20
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.2%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

24.2%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cruzeiro U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruzeiro U20's form might have worsened.

Flamengo RJ U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruzeiro U20 than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruzeiro U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flamengo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Flamengo RJ U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cruzeiro U20 - Flamengo RJ U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Wallace Yan ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro U20 won 1.

Cruzeiro U20 is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Flamengo U20 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Flamengo U20 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Cruzeiro U20 will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cruzeiro U20 won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:6 (average 0.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Cruzeiro U20 - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.46%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cruzeiro U20
Brasileiro U20
09.04.25	Atlético Mineiro U20 - Cruzeiro U20	1:1 ✺
02.04.25	Red Bull Bragantino U20 - Cruzeiro U20	3:3 ✺
26.03.25	Cruzeiro U20 - América MG U20	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Cruzeiro U20	1:3 ✺
12.03.25	Cruzeiro U20 - Fortaleza U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWWW
- Flamengo RJ U20
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
12.04.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	0:0 ✺
Brasileiro U20
09.04.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - América MG U20	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
07.04.25	Volta Redonda U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	3:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
06.04.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Cuiabá U20	3:0 ✺
03.04.25	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
01.05.24	Flamengo RJ U20 - Cruzeiro U20	1:0
Brazilian Copinha
22.01.24	Flamengo RJ U20 - Cruzeiro U20	1:2
Brasileiro U20
09.07.22	Flamengo RJ U20 - Cruzeiro U20	1:1
28.07.21	Flamengo RJ U20 - Cruzeiro U20	1:1
25.10.20	Flamengo RJ U20 - Cruzeiro U20	2:0
28.08.19	Flamengo RJ U20 - Cruzeiro U20	0:1

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