Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 5

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday


	Fluminense U20		Flamengo RJ U20

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.4
	2.62	3.1	2.42
	2.57	3.07	2.48
	1.00	1.00	1.11	Watch
	2.57	3.32	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.58)	2.74 ↓ (3.27)	2.16 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fluminense U20
34.8%

Draw
28.8%

Flamengo RJ U20
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

27.5%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fluminense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Flamengo RJ U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense U20 than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 4)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, ⚽,
42', 0 - 3, ⚽,
45+1', 0 - 4, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fluminense U20 won 1.

Recent performances by Fluminense U20 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Flamengo U20 is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fluminense U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Fluminense U20 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:29. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fluminense U20 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 1:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Flamengo RJ U20 - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.51%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fluminense U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
23.08.25	Boavista SC U20 - Fluminense U20	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Fluminense U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	1:0 ✺
08.08.25	Vasco da Gama U20 - Fluminense U20	2:1 ✺
02.08.25	Fluminense U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	2:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
23.07.25	Palmeiras U20 - Fluminense U20	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLTL
- Flamengo RJ U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
16.08.25	Bangu U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Maricá U20	3:1 ✺
02.08.25	Portuguesa RJ U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
30.07.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Cruzeiro U20	1:2 penalties ✺
23.07.25	Fortaleza U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Rio U20
04.05.25	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:1
Brasileiro U20
03.04.25	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:2
Brazilian Carioca U20
03.08.24	Flamengo RJ U20 - Fluminense U20	1:1
Brasileiro U20
18.06.24	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:0
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
14.04.24	Fluminense U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:1
06.04.24	Flamengo RJ U20 - Fluminense U20	1:1
Brasileiro U20
13.03.23	Flamengo RJ U20 - Fluminense U20	1:0

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