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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama U20 52.6%
Draw 25.5%
Cruzeiro U20 21.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.1%
25.3%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
27.6%
19.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Cruzeiro U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vasco da Gama U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cruzeiro U20 than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Vasco da Gama U20 - Cruzeiro U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Phillipe Gabriel (G) 4. Andre B. 9. Andrey Fernandes 8. Felipe L. 5. Gustavo Guimaraes (C) 11. Juninho 10. Lukas Zuccarello 7. Marca L. 2. Melim L. 6. Riquelme Avellar 3. Wanyson
1. Lamounier V. (G) 8. Alessandro 9. Andre 6. Carvalho G. 3. Cervi J. 7. Lelis R. 5. Murilo Rhikman 2. Nicolas Pontes 11. Pablo Santos 10. Rhuan Gabriel 4. Vitor Hugo
Substitutes
24. Alex Bruno 15. Alison 13. Amaral C. 16. Bernardo Manes 14. Breno Sales 19. Falcao Y. 23. Guilherme M. 17. Leo Felix 12. Marcao (G) 21. Minete D. 20. Pedro Augusto 18. Ramon Rique
12. Diogo R. 14. Indio L. 16. Ivanilson 15. Pedrinho 17. Pietro Tavares 19. Ruan Indio 18. Souza D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Juninho ⚽,
41', Juninho 🟨,
45+3', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Marca L. ↓, Ramon Rique ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Bernardo Manes ⚽,
76', Murilo Rhikman 🟨,
86', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 0-1.
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco U20 won 1.
Vasco U20 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Cruzeiro U20 has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Cruzeiro U20 has had a series of home games.
In this match, Vasco U20 is seen as the favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Vasco U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Vasco U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).