The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos U20 70.2%
Draw 18.2%
Santo Andre U20 11.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.5%
18.8%
12.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.2%
17.2%
11.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Santo Andre U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santo Andre U20 than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Santos U20 - Santo Andre U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 4-1.
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 4th in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).
Santos U20 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Santo Andre U20 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, Santos U20 enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Santos U20 has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:3 (averaging 2.7:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Santos U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.