Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Almaty Central Stadium (Almaty)

Referee: Kuchma A. (Kaz)


	Kairat		Kaspiy Aktau

	1	X	2
	1.16	6.5	13.5	Watch
	1.18	7.07	13.07
	1.14	6.86	15.48	Watch
	1.17	6	15
	1.2	6.44	12.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.28)	6.57 ↑ (5.08)	13.87 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kairat
79.2%

Draw
14.1%

Kaspiy Aktau
6.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.7%

18.1%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kairat's performance.

Kaspiy Aktau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Kairat - Kaspiy Aktau Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kairat will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Kaspiy will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anarbekov T. (G) 8. Baybek O. 7. Jorginho 19. Jukkola O. 14. Martynovich A. 3. Mata L. 24. Mrynskiy A. 13. Oksanen J. 10. Satpaev D. 25. Shirobokov A. 20. Tapalov E.	1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 21. Aripov D. 27. Esimbekov D. 30. Morgado B. 23. Nabikhanov A. 11. Ndombasi N. 28. Petrovic B. 13. Serikbay M. 5. Strumia L. 19. Taykenov M. 9. Zulfikarov B.
Substitutes
27. Abish M. 23. Bagdat R. 30. Buch D. (G) 9. Edmilson 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 4. Kasabulat D. 5. Kurgin L. 44. Lucas Africo 99. Ricardinho 6. Sadybekov A. 17. Tuyakbaev A. 11. Zeballos S.	33. Alan Dias 49. Andrin Y. (G) 67. Berdibek D. 55. Elemes N. 99. Gustavo Franca 7. Kabylan B. 60. Kaldybay B. (G) 15. Serikbay A. 10. Umaev I. 24. Zhomart D. (G)
Coaches
Urazbakhtin R.	Aliev P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Aripov D. 🟨,
39', Taykenov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tapalov E. ↓, Edmilson ↑,
46', Petrovic B. ↓, Serikbay A. ↑,
55', 1 - 0, Edmilson ⚽, Satpaev D. (A),
67', Zulfikarov B. ↓, Umaev I. ↑,
70', Jukkola O. ↓, Zeballos S. ↑,
78', Esimbekov D. ↓, Berdibek D. ↑,
79', Ndombasi N. ↓, Kabylan B. ↑,
82', 2 - 0, Jorginho ⚽, Zeballos S. (A),
83', Aripov D. ↓, Gustavo Franca ↑,
87', Jorginho ↓, Bagdat R. ↑,
87', Mata L. ↓, Kurgin L. ↑,
89', Baybek O. ↓, Kasabulat D. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ First League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 3.

Recent performances by Kairat have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kaspiy Aktau is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Kairat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kairat has had a series of away games.

In this match, Kairat is the clear favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kairat won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:12. (average 2.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kairat won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:5. (average 2.4:1).

Outrights of Kazakh Premier League for now

Kairat Almaty: 29.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty	26	17	6	3	51:20	31	57
10	Kaspij Aktau	26	8	5	13	27:36	-9	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
11.04.26	Tobol Kostanay - Kairat	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Cup
08.04.26	Jaiyq - Kairat	1:3 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
05.04.26	Kairat - Astana	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
28.03.26	Zenit - Kairat	2:0 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
21.03.26	Zhetysu - Kairat	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWLT
- FC Kaspiy Aktau
Kazakh Premier League
12.04.26	Aktobe - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Zhetysu	0:1 ✺
22.03.26	Altai Semey - Kaspiy Aktau	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Okzhetpes	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Kyzylzhar - Kaspiy Aktau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
01.10.23	Kaspiy Aktau - Kairat	1:1
14.03.23	Kairat - Kaspiy Aktau	3:1
27.08.22	Kaspiy Aktau - Kairat	2:2
09.04.22	Kairat - Kaspiy Aktau	1:0
Kazakh Cup
15.08.21	Kaspiy Aktau - Kairat	2:4
17.07.21	Kairat - Kaspiy Aktau	0:2
Kazakh Premier League
23.06.21	Kairat - Kaspiy Aktau	5:1

Upcoming Matches