The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cuautla 12.8%
Draw 18%
Deportivo Zitácuaro 69.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
12.5%
18.8%
68.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
11%
16.5%
78.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuautla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Deportivo Zitácuaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuautla than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Zitácuaro than the current prediction. (+9.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Zitácuaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 8).
Cuautla has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Zitácuaro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Zitácuaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Zitácuaro is indisputable favorite.
In this match Zitácuaro is absolute favorite.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Cuautla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.
Including matches at home between the teams Cuautla won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.
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