Match Info

Serie B Superbet - Round 4

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports, Zapping


	Criciúma		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.9	3.1	4.35
	2.02	3.18	4.51
	1.86	3.22	4.61	Watch
	1.91	2.9	4.33
	1.94	3.14	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.55)	3.11 ↓ (3.94)	4.42 ↓ (5.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Criciúma
48.8%

Draw
30.1%

Botafogo SP
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

23.7%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Criciúma's form might have worsened.

Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botafogo SP's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Criciúma - Botafogo SP Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Criciúma: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Airton (G) 43. Ruan Carvalho 37. Cesar Martins 4. Luciano Castan 97. Willean Lepo 8. Gui Lobo 50. Thiaguinho 22. Marcelo Hermes 11. Romarinho 7. Fellipe Mateus (C) 13. Waguininho	1. Victor Souza (G) 31. Pedro Henrique 4. Vilar 14. Carlao 6. Patrick Brey (C) 16. Matheus Sales 29. Thiago Moraes 8. Everton Morelli 10. Rafael Gava 7. Kelvin 9. Hygor
Substitutes
20. Bidu 34. Bruno Alves 77. Diego Goncalves 5. Eduardo 31. Hiago Alves 41. Jean Irmer 21. Joao Carlos 6. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 91. Otero R. 70. Pedro Santos (G) 38. Sandry	26. Felipe Vieira 11. Jefferson Nem 12. Jordan (G) 5. Leandro Maciel 21. Luizao 28. Marco Antonio 20. Marquinho 13. Wallace 23. Wesley Santos 30. Ze Hugo
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Patrick Brey 🟨,
45+1', Carlao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rafael Gava ↓, Leandro Maciel ↑,
46', Romarinho ↓, Nicolas ↑,
49', Hygor ↓, Ze Hugo ↑,
57', Waguininho ↓, Otero R. ↑,
57', Fellipe Mateus ↓, Hiago Alves ↑,
60', Willean Lepo 🟥,
64', Thiaguinho ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
66', Jean Irmer 🟨,
69', Thiago Moraes ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
70', Carlao ↓, Wallace ↑,
76', Gui Lobo ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,
85', Pedro Henrique ↓, Marco Antonio ↑,
89', Marcelo Hermes 🟨,
90+2', Luciano Castan 🟨,
90+8', 1 - 0, Otero R. ⚽,
90+8', Otero R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 3.

Recent performances by Criciúma have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

In this match, Criciúma is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Criciúma: Caue Santos (Achilles Tendon Injury) Kaua Moroso (Back Injury) Yuri Tanque (Inactive)

There will not play in Botafogo SP: Ericson (Knee Injury) Guilherme Mariano (Inactive) Guilherme Queiroz (Inactive) Thalles (Inactive) Wallace (Inactive)

There are questionable in Criciúma: Alisson (Inactive) Heitor Roca (Knee Injury) Jhonata Robert (Inactive) Sandry (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gabriel Inocencio (Inactive)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.3:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 1.8:0).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Criciuma: 5.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	6	53
16	Botafogo SP	32	10	8	14	36:38	-2	38

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo SP - the odds 5.86 are the expected chance of winning is 15.95%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
06.04.26	Goiás - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
01.04.26	Criciúma - Athletic Club	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Náutico Capibaribe - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
07.03.26	Criciúma - Camboriú	4:2 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Camboriú - Criciúma	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LTWWL
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
05.04.26	Botafogo SP - São Bernardo	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	América Mineiro - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
21.03.26	Botafogo SP - Fortaleza	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.02.26	Botafogo SP - Capivariano	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Guarani - Botafogo SP	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.11.25	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	2:0
24.07.25	Botafogo SP - Criciúma	0:2
18.11.23	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	3:0
17.07.23	Botafogo SP - Criciúma	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
11.09.21	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	0:0
12.07.21	Botafogo SP - Criciúma	3:1
Brazilian Serie B
28.09.19	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	2:0

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