The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cuiabá 76.6%
Draw 16.3%
Primavera AC 7.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70%
20%
10%
Our Initial ML Estimation
71.8%
19.5%
9.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cuiabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cuiabá's performance.
Primavera AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cuiabá than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Primavera AC than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Cuiabá - Primavera AC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
14. Mateus Pasinato (G) 97. Andre Luis 3. Bruno Alves (C) 27. Denilson 22. Derik Lacerda 44. Gabriel 70. Juan Christian 30. Lucas Mineiro 98. Matheusinho 33. Ruan Oliveira 6. Sander
1. Lucas Alves (G) 8. Borges D. 20. Bryan Gabriel 2. Camargo 6. Dimitry 10. Giovanni 4. Jordan 7. Natan Bahia 3. Octavio Assis 24. Romulo Chagas 9. Savio Santos
Substitutes
1. Arthur (G) 55. Calebe Costa 20. David 11. Eliel 17. Emerson Negueba 77. Jadson 2. Leonardo Ataide 99. Lucas Cardoso 8. Max 4. Nathan 7. Pedrinho 40. Railan
23. Adilson (G) 21. Brandao 17. Bruno Rosa 15. Da Ilha 11. Danilinho 12. Lucas Cardoso (G) 19. Mateus Alex 22. Pablo Gabriel 14. Rian 16. Ricardo Liell 5. Sampson 18. Vinicius Leonel
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Savio Santos ⚽,
44', Bryan Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Juan Christian ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
58', Andre Luis ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
58', Ruan Oliveira ↓, Calebe Costa ↑,
58', Denilson ↓, Max ↑,
60', Lucas Alves 🟨,
63', Romulo Chagas ↓, Sampson ↑,
64', Savio Santos 🟨,
67', Lucas Cardoso 🟨,
68', Camargo 🟨,
75', Savio Santos ↓, Mateus Alex ↑,
78', Matheusinho ↓, David ↑,
87', Dimitry ↓, Ricardo Liell ↑,
88', Camargo ↓, Rian ↑,
88', Jordan ↓, Brandao ↑,
90+4', Lucas Mineiro 🟥,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Derik Lacerda (Pen),
1, Ricardo Liell (Pen),
2, Max (Pen),
2, Geovanni (Pen),
3, Bruno Alves (Pen),
3, Natan Bahia (Pen),
4, David (Pen),
4, Sampson (Pen),
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.
The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Cuiabá is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Primavera is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Primavera have a series of home games.
In this match Cuiabá is indisputable favorite.
Our prediction for today's Cuiabá to win the game is with odds 1.3.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Cuiabá won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).
Including matches at home between the teams Cuiabá won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
Watch
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