Match Info

Matogrossense - Round 4

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Municipal Antônio Santo Renosto (Primavera do Leste)


	Primavera AC		Nova Mutum

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.2	5.15
	1.59	3.63	5.51	Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.6
	1.72	2.95	5.53
	1.81	3.14	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)	3.22 ↑ (3.18)	5.02 ↑ (4.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Primavera AC
53.6%

Draw
28.3%

Nova Mutum
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

28.9%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Primavera AC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Nova Mutum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Primavera AC - Nova Mutum Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 1 - 1, ⚽,
88', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 8 and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ Matogrossense 2).

In this match, Primavera is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Primavera won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:3. (average 3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Primavera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Primavera AC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
17.01.26	União Rondonópolis - Primavera AC	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Sport Sinop - Primavera AC	0:0 ✺
10.01.26	Primavera AC - Chapada	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Cuiabá - Primavera AC	0:2 penalties ✺
22.03.25	Primavera AC - Cuiabá	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TTTWL
- Nova Mutum EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
18.01.26	Nova Mutum - Luverdense	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	União Rondonópolis - Nova Mutum	3:0 ✺
10.01.26	Nova Mutum - Sport Sinop	1:1 ✺
05.03.25	Primavera AC - Nova Mutum	5:1 ✺
15.02.25	Nova Mutum - Primavera AC	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
05.03.25	Primavera AC - Nova Mutum	5:1
15.02.25	Nova Mutum - Primavera AC	1:4
04.02.24	Nova Mutum - Primavera AC	1:0

Primavera AC - Nova Mutum: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide