Match Info

BRAZIL: Matogrossense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 10 March 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Municipal Antônio Santo Renosto (Primavera do Leste)


	Primavera AC		Mixto

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.8	2.29
	3.27	2.75	2.29
	3.16	3.05	2.2
	3.25	2.8	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 (3.23)	2.85 ↓ (2.86)	2.27 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Primavera AC
28.1%

Draw
31.9%

Mixto
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

31.8%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

31.4%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Primavera AC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Mixto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Primavera AC than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Primavera AC - Mixto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lucas Alves (G) 8. Borges D. 20. Bryan Gabriel 2. Camargo 11. Danilinho 6. Dimitry 10. Giovanni 4. Jordan (C) 7. Natan Bahia 3. Octavio Assis 9. Savio Santos	1. Ravel Pelegrini (G) 14. Daniel Felipe (C) 17. Dionatha 19. Emerson Machado 10. Geovani 29. Gilvan 22. Indio 3. Otavio Passos 13. Pablo 8. Raynan 18. Uesley Gaucho
Substitutes
23. Adilson (G) 17. Bruno Rosa 15. Da Ilha 12. Lucas Cardoso (G) 19. Mateus Alex 22. Pablo Gabriel 25. Pedro Liko 14. Rian 16. Ricardo Liell 24. Romulo Chagas 18. Vinicius Leonel	7. Abner 20. Da Silva 23. Guilherme Amorim 21. Jean 15. Juninho Ramos 9. Luam Parede 25. Matheusinho 12. Rafael Puridade (G) 5. Vinicius Garcia 27. Vitor Gabriel 28. Willian Goiano

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', Giovanni 🟨,
24', 1 - 0, Natan Bahia ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Emerson Machado 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Mixto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mixto will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Primavera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:3 (average 0:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Primavera won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Primavera AC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
05.03.25	Primavera AC - Nova Mutum	5:1 ✺
22.02.25	Primavera AC - Mixto	0:1 ✺
15.02.25	Nova Mutum - Primavera AC	1:4 ✺
09.02.25	Operário Ltda - Primavera AC	1:1 ✺
29.01.25	Academia Rondonópolis - Primavera AC	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLWTW
- Mixto-MT
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
22.02.25	Primavera AC - Mixto	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	Mixto - Academia Rondonópolis	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Mixto - Luverdense	4:1 ✺
25.01.25	Mixto - Operário Ltda	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Cuiabá - Mixto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
22.02.25	Primavera AC - Mixto	0:1
Brazilian Copa FMF Mato Grosso
22.09.24	Mixto - Primavera AC	2:0

Primavera AC - Mixto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide