Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 6

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports


	Cumbayá		Deportivo Santo Domingo

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.30	3.50
	1.97	3.52	3.65
	1.69	3.99	4.09	Watch
	2.03	3.64	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.82)	3.61 ↑ (3.27)	3.64 ↓ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
49%

Draw
25.6%

Deportivo Santo Domingo
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

28.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

30.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Deportivo Santo Domingo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cumbayá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Santo Domingo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Santo Domingo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cumbayá - Deportivo Santo Domingo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

(0 - 3)

Preview

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Bookmakers give the edge to Cumbayá for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Cumbayá has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:5 (averaging 1.3:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cumbayá against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:3 goals.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
25.09.26	El Nacional - Cumbayá	0:3 ✺
17.09.26	22 de Julio - Cumbayá	1:7 ✺
10.09.26	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	0:1 ✺
03.09.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Cumbayá - LDU Portoviejo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLLT
- Deportivo Santo Domingo
Ecuadorian Serie B
27.09.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Gualaceo	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	LDU Portoviejo - Deportivo Santo Domingo	1:0 ✺
03.09.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
27.08.26	22 de Julio - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
03.09.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Cumbayá	2:1
13.08.26	Cumbayá - Deportivo Santo Domingo	3:3
22.05.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Cumbayá	0:0

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