Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Reales Tamarindos (Portoviejo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	LDU Portoviejo		Deportivo Santo Domingo

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.7	2.95
	2.55	2.79	3.27
	2.16	2.86	3.89	Watch
	2.50	2.66	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (1.99)	2.75 ↓ (3)	3.3 ↓ (3.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

LDU Portoviejo
38.4%

Draw
33.6%

Deportivo Santo Domingo
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

30.6%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.6%

30.2%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

LDU Portoviejo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that LDU Portoviejo's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Santo Domingo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LDU Portoviejo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for LDU Portoviejo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Santo Domingo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

LDU Portoviejo - Deportivo Santo Domingo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

D Santo Domingo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, LDU Portoviejo is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, LDU Portoviejo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, LDU Portoviejo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- LDU Portoviejo
Ecuadorian Serie B
04.09.26	El Nacional - LDU Portoviejo	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Cumbayá - LDU Portoviejo	0:0 ✺
21.08.26	LDU Portoviejo - 22 de Julio	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Vinotinto - LDU Portoviejo	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	LDU Portoviejo - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTWTT
- Deportivo Santo Domingo
Ecuadorian Serie B
03.09.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
27.08.26	22 de Julio - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:3 ✺
13.08.26	Cumbayá - Deportivo Santo Domingo	3:3 ✺
06.08.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Deportivo Santo Domingo	0:1 ✺
29.07.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - 9 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
24.07.26	LDU Portoviejo - Deportivo Santo Domingo	1:0
04.05.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - LDU Portoviejo	3:0

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