Match Info

Serie B - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa (Quito)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ecuador	Zapping, Zapping Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cumbayá		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
	2.54	2.86	3.14
	2.54	2.79	3.15	Watch
	2.5	2.68	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.18)	2.78 ↓ (2.94)	3.11 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cumbayá
36.7%

Draw
33.4%

Gualaceo
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

31.2%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

30.7%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cumbayá's form might have worsened.

Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Cumbayá - Gualaceo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cumbayá will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Gualaceo will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 1.

Cumbayá is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Gualaceo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cumbayá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cumbayá might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cumbayá won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:13. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cumbayá won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cumbayá FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
03.09.26	Deportivo Santo Domingo - Cumbayá	2:1 ✺
26.08.26	Cumbayá - LDU Portoviejo	0:0 ✺
20.08.26	Atlético Rojiblanco - Cumbayá	3:0 ✺
13.08.26	Cumbayá - Deportivo Santo Domingo	3:3 ✺
08.08.26	LDU Portoviejo - Cumbayá	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLTT
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
04.09.26	22 de Julio - Gualaceo	Awarded ✺
29.08.26	Gualaceo - El Nacional	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Cuenca Juniors - Gualaceo	0:3 ✺
15.08.26	Gualaceo - Atlético Rojiblanco	0:0 ✺
06.08.26	San Antonio - Gualaceo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 ?WWTL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
10.06.26	Gualaceo - Cumbayá	1:0
08.04.26	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	1:1
08.07.25	Gualaceo - Cumbayá	2:0
30.04.25	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	0:2
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
18.09.23	Gualaceo - Cumbayá	0:3
16.04.23	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	1:0
15.07.22	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	1:2

Cumbayá - Gualaceo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide