Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 12

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Tameside Stadium (Ashton-under-Lyne)


	Curzon Ashton		Redcar Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.40	2.30
	2.55	3.25	2.28
	2.59	3.64	2.32
	2.64	3.65	2.4	Watch
	2.55	3.60	2.25
	2.56	3.40	2.29
	2.65	3.45	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.6)	3.48 ↑ (3.2)	2.31 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
34.9%

Draw
25.9%

Redcar Athletic
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

27.5%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

28.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Redcar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Redcar Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Curzon Ashton - Redcar Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Curran A. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Holmes B. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Curran A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
73', 3 - 1, Rowe D. ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 1st in the Promotion - National League North).

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Curzon Ashton could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Redcar Athletic	12	7	4	1	23:11	12	25
7	Curzon Ashton	10	6	1	3	21:11	10	19

Last Results with these Odds

Curzon Ashton - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 33.87%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Curzon Ashton - Stalybridge Celtic	3:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.09.26	Lancaster City - Curzon Ashton	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
05.09.26	Curzon Ashton - Bradford Park Avenue	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
31.08.26	Curzon Ashton - Ashton United	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Cleethorpes Town - Curzon Ashton	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWLWW
- Redcar Athletic
English NPL Premier Division
03.10.26	Redcar Athletic - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.09.26	Guisborough Town - Redcar Athletic	0:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
22.09.26	Cleethorpes Town - Redcar Athletic	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
19.09.26	Redcar Athletic - Macclesfield Town	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
12.09.26	Redcar Athletic - Leek Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTLW

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