The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Redcar Athletic 52.6%
Draw 24.6%
Alfreton Town 22.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
24%
24.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
23.3%
24.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Redcar Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Redcar Athletic aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Redcar Athletic - Alfreton Town Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Johnson L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
54', 2 - 0, Boyes A. ⚽,
56', 3 - 0, Fletcher O. ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, (Own goal),
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - NPL Premier Division Playoffs - Semi - finals and 10th).
Redcar is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Alfreton has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Redcar could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Redcar for this game.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.