The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lancaster City 37.7%
Draw 25.7%
Curzon Ashton 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.5%
25.9%
45.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.6%
25.1%
47.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lancaster City's performance.
Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Curzon Ashton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lancaster City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Curzon Ashton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lancaster City - Curzon Ashton Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
74', 0 - 1, Holmes B. ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 2, Curran A. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Lancaster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lancaster won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Lancaster won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Curzon Ashton
10
6
1
3
21:11
10
19
12
Lancaster
12
5
1
6
16:24
-8
16
Last Results with these Odds
Lancaster City - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 28.47%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.
Curzon Ashton - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 45.61%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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