Match Info

National League North - Round 17

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Tameside Stadium (Ashton-under-Lyne)


	Curzon Ashton		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	2.7
	2.2	3.55	2.82
	2.2	3.94	2.81
	2.20	3.82	2.77	Watch
	2.26	3.67	2.83
	2.2	3.45	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 (2.2)	3.66 ↓ (3.82)	2.78 ↑ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Curzon Ashton
41.8%

Draw
25.2%

Scarborough Athletic
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

24.3%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

23.6%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Curzon Ashton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Curzon Ashton than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Barton A. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
69', 0 - 1, Allan R. ⚽,
72', 0 - 2, Weledji K. ⚽,
84', Tear D. 🟥,
90+1', 1 - 2, Darby B. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 4.

Recent performances by Curzon Ashton have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Scarborough is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Scarborough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Curzon Ashton won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Curzon Ashton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Curzon Ashton - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.19%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Scarborough Athletic - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.51%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Curzon Ashton
English National League North
04.11.25	Curzon Ashton - Spennymoor Town	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	3:3 ✺
28.10.25	Curzon Ashton - King`s Lynn Town	3:0 ✺
25.10.25	Curzon Ashton - Peterborough Sports	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Macclesfield Town - Curzon Ashton	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWWL
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
01.11.25	Worksop Town - Scarborough Athletic	1:0 ✺
25.10.25	Scarborough Athletic - Marine	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	South Shields - Scarborough Athletic	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	AFC Telford United - Scarborough Athletic	4:1 ✺
11.10.25	Scarborough Athletic - Leamington	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
01.03.25	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	2:1
22.10.24	Scarborough Athletic - Curzon Ashton	0:2
12.03.24	Scarborough Athletic - Curzon Ashton	0:2
24.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	0:1
07.04.23	Scarborough Athletic - Curzon Ashton	0:1
English FA Cup
04.10.22	Curzon Ashton - Scarborough Athletic	3:2 ET
01.10.22	Scarborough Athletic - Curzon Ashton	2:2

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