Match Info

National League North - Round 15

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Scarborough Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.45
	2.52	3.45	2.45
	3.09	3.76	2.05	Watch
	2.53	3.44	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (3.09)	3.54 ↓ (3.76)	2.36 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
34.8%

Draw
26.1%

Scarborough Athletic
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30%

24.7%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

24.6%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Scarborough Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scarborough Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scarborough Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Worksop Town - Scarborough Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, Hughes L. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Worksop is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Scarborough has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English National League North
25.10.25	AFC Telford United - Worksop Town	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Worksop Town - King`s Lynn Town	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Worksop Town - Marine	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Fylde - Worksop Town	2:3 ✺
04.10.25	Worksop Town - Bedford Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTLWL
- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
25.10.25	Scarborough Athletic - Marine	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	South Shields - Scarborough Athletic	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	AFC Telford United - Scarborough Athletic	4:1 ✺
11.10.25	Scarborough Athletic - Leamington	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	King`s Lynn Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLLWW

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