Match Info

National League North - Round 11

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Mounting Systems Stadium (Bridlington)


	Scarborough Athletic		Leamington

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.2	5.75
	1.42	4.45	6.3
	1.4	4.43	7.8
	1.02	16.53	25.00	Watch
	1.48	4.38	6
	1.35	4.5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.67)	6.42 ↑ (3.82)	9.81 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Scarborough Athletic
74.2%

Draw
15.6%

Leamington
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.9%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Scarborough Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Scarborough Athletic's performance.

Leamington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leamington might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Scarborough Athletic than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Scarborough Athletic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leamington than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leamington could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Scarborough Athletic - Leamington Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Scarborough (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Green H. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Walker S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

Scarborough is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leamington is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leamington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Scarborough is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Scarborough won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Scarborough won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Scarborough Athletic
English National League North
04.10.25	King`s Lynn Town - Scarborough Athletic	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Scarborough Athletic - Oxford City	1:0 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Ashton United - Scarborough Athletic	2:0 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Chester - Scarborough Athletic	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Scarborough Athletic - Buxton	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLTW
- Leamington
English National League North
07.10.25	Fylde - Leamington	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Leamington - Hereford	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Alvechurch - Leamington	3:0 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Spennymoor Town - Leamington	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Leamington - Southport	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
22.02.25	Scarborough Athletic - Leamington	3:0
05.10.24	Leamington - Scarborough Athletic	1:1
25.02.23	Scarborough Athletic - Leamington	4:1
05.11.22	Leamington - Scarborough Athletic	1:1

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