Match Info

III Liga - Group IV - Round 7

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday


	Czarni Połaniec		Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów

	1	X	2
	2.11	3.41	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.26)	3.41 (3.41)	2.76 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 13%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czarni Połaniec
42%

Draw
26%

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

26%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

25.4%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czarni Połaniec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Czarni Połaniec than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Czarni Połaniec has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lubaczów is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Czarni Połaniec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Czarni Połaniec has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Czarni Połaniec won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Czarni Połaniec won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Czarni Polaniec	11	6	2	3	18:16	2	20
18	Lubaczow	11	2	1	8	11:21	-10	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czarni Połaniec
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
28.08.26	Wiślanie Skawina - Czarni Połaniec	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Korona Kielce 2 - Czarni Połaniec	3:4 ✺
19.08.26	Star Starachowice - Czarni Połaniec	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Czarni Połaniec - Podlasie Biała Podlaska	0:2 ✺
08.08.26	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Czarni Połaniec	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WWLLW
- Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów
Polish Division 3 - Group IV
29.08.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Hetman Zamość	4:2 ✺
23.08.26	KSZO Ostrowiec Świętokrzyski - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Wisła II Kraków	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Naprzód Jędrzejów - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Chełmianka Chełm	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group IV
29.11.25	Czarni Połaniec - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:2
10.08.25	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Czarni Połaniec	1:0
12.04.25	Czarni Połaniec - Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów	3:0
14.09.24	Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów - Czarni Połaniec	1:1

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