Match Info

Polish Cup Women - Final

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	TVP Sport


	Czarni Sosnowiec		GKS Katowice

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.65	3.3	Watch
	1.85	3.76	3.44	Watch
	1.83	3.58	3.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.87)	3.66 ↑ (3.64)	3.46 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Czarni Sosnowiec
49%

Draw
24.8%

GKS Katowice
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

24.9%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

25.2%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Czarni Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Czarni Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for GKS Katowice aligns with the current prediction.

Czarni Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', 1 - 0, Sarapata P. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Nieciag A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', 2 - 1, Milek K. ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Binkowska A. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 3)
103', 2 - 3, Maciazka K. ⚽,
105', 2 - 4, Nieciag A. ⚽,
112', 2 - 5, Nieciag A. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Czarni Sosnowiec won 2.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Czarni Sosnowiec may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Czarni Sosnowiec will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Czarni Sosnowiec won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Czarni Sosnowiec won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:12. (average 2.1:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Czarni Sosnowiec
Polish Ekstraliga Women
10.05.26	Czarni Sosnowiec - Górnik Łęczna	4:1 ✺
02.05.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Czarni Sosnowiec	2:2 ✺
25.04.26	Pogoń Tczew - Czarni Sosnowiec	0:8 ✺
Polish Cup Women
21.04.26	Pogoń Szczecin - Czarni Sosnowiec	1:2 penalties ✺
Polish Ekstraliga Women
04.04.26	Czarni Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWWL
- GKS Katowice Women
Polish Ekstraliga Women
09.05.26	GKS Katowice - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	GKS Katowice - Stomilanki Olsztyn	5:0 ✺
02.05.26	Górnik Łęczna - GKS Katowice	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup Women
21.04.26	Lech UAM Poznań - GKS Katowice	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraliga Women
04.04.26	Czarni Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	1:2
22.09.25	GKS Katowice - Czarni Sosnowiec	1:2
16.03.25	Czarni Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	0:5
Polish Cup Women
16.10.24	Czarni Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	2:1
Polish Ekstraliga Women
31.08.24	GKS Katowice - Czarni Sosnowiec	2:1
Club Friendly Women
12.07.24	Czarni Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	4:1
Polish Ekstraliga Women
02.03.24	Czarni Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice	3:0

Czarni Sosnowiec - GKS Katowice: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide